Weekly briefs
One real week of Bitcoin and Ether: what the data shows, what it cannot show, and what a careful desk would check.
391 notes, newest week first
Week of 22 January 2024: Bitcoin gains 1.08% while Ether loses 8.15%When Bitcoin and Ether move in opposite directions over one week, what does the price data show about the split, and what can it not say about its cause?Week of 15 January 2024: Bitcoin and Ether close almost flat after swings of about 8%When a week ends barely changed for both assets but the price moved about 8% within it, what does the shape of that week tell us about direction, and what does it leave unresolved?Week of 8 January 2024: Bitcoin falls 5.00% while Ether gains 11.32%, a 16-point splitWhen the two largest crypto assets move in opposite directions within one week, what does their price and volume data reveal about the split, and what can it not tell us about its cause?Week of 1 January 2024: Bitcoin gains 3.89% while Ether loses 2.65%When Bitcoin and Ether move in opposite directions over a week, what does the size of the gap tell us about hedging one asset with the other?Week of 25 December 2023: Ether rises 0.79% while Bitcoin falls 1.65%When Bitcoin and Ether end a week in opposite directions while still moving closely hour by hour, what can the price record say about the gap between them, and what can it not settle?Week of 18 December 2023: Bitcoin gains 3.91% and ends 3.45% below its 52-week highWhen both assets rise together on above-average volume with funding mildly positive, what does the week's shape say about the durability of the move?Week of 11 December 2023: Bitcoin and Ether fall over 5%, ending Bitcoin's four up weeksWhen a market that has risen for four weeks opens at its high and closes near its low, what does the week's structure reveal, and what can it not tell us about what follows?Week of 4 December 2023: Bitcoin gains 9.55% and closes 1.66% below its 52-week highWhen Bitcoin gains 9.55% in a week and closes 1.66% below its 52-week high, what can price and funding data say about the strength of the move, and what can they not say?Week of 27 November 2023: Bitcoin gains 6.74% and closes within 0.22% of its 52-week highWhen a market rises steadily for several weeks and ends just below its 52-week high, what can one week of prices say about the strength of the move, and what can it not say?Week of 20 November 2023: BTC ends 0.23% higher after a midweek dip, ETH gains 2.53%When both assets dip midweek, recover, and close near unchanged, what does the week's shape reveal about direction, and what does it leave undetermined?Week of 13 November 2023: Bitcoin ends 1.32% below its 52-week high while Ether falls 1.62%After four straight rising weeks, what does a nearly flat week 1.32% below a 52-week high tell us about whether the trend is pausing or losing buyers?Week of 30 October 2023: Bitcoin gains 1.41% to 35,011.88, 1.87% below its 52-week highWhen Bitcoin adds only 1.41% while sitting 1.87% below its 52-week high but Ether outperforms by nearly four points, is the week a broad advance or a shift between the two assets?Week of 23 October 2023: Bitcoin rises 15% to within 1% of its 52-week high as Ether lagsWhen both assets rise for a week but one moves twice as far, what does that gap say about where the buying concentrated, and what would confirm or overturn it?Week of 16 October 2023: Bitcoin rises 10.45% and ends 5.11% below its 52-week highAfter three down weeks in four, what does a double-digit weekly gain on above-average volume show about the shift, and what can it not show about its durability?Week of 9 October 2023: both assets fall on below-average volume and near-flat fundingWhen prices drift lower on light trading activity and almost no funding pressure, what does the week actually reveal about direction, and what does it leave unresolved?Week of 2 October 2023: Bitcoin is flat at -0.27% while Ether loses 5.82%When two assets that usually move together part ways over one week, how large is the gap, and what can a week of price data say about its cause?Week of 18 September 2023: both assets fall on light volume and close in the lower thirdWhen two assets fall only slightly but close near the bottom of their weekly range on below-average volume, how should a desk read that mix of price and activity?Week of 4 September 2023: narrow ranges, thin volume, and Ether lagging by 0.63 pointsWhat can a quiet, low-volume week say about direction after a month that was mostly down, and what does it leave undecided?Week of 28 August 2023: a wide week that ended lower on thin volumeWhen a week covers a wide price range but ends almost where it began, on below-average volume, what can the shape of that week tell us about which side of the market was in control?Week of 21 August 2023: a 6% swing that ends flat on volume 33% below normalAfter a week that fell 10.63%, a week that swings 6% but closes almost unchanged can mean several things — what does the price data support, and what does it leave open?Week of 14 August 2023: Bitcoin falls 10.63% and Ether 8.45% in a single weekWhen both assets drop more than 8% in one week after weeks of quiet, what does the timing of the fall tell us about the market's structure, and what does it leave unanswered?Week of 7 August 2023: both assets rise slightly on volume below the 12-week averageWhen a quiet week closes near the middle of its range on weak volume, what can the price data say about conviction, and what can it not say?Week of 31 July 2023: BTC and ETH slip on below-average volume with funding barely positiveWhen a quiet week ends slightly lower on thin trading, what does the price path and the funding rate actually establish, and what does it leave open?Week of 24 July 2023: Bitcoin and Ether fall slightly in a quiet week on light volumeWhen both assets fall only slightly on volume well below their recent pace, what does the week say about the market's direction, and what can it not say?Week of 17 July 2023: BTC slips 0.49% on volume 0.62 times its prior 12-week averageWhen a quiet week sees both assets fall slightly on below-average volume after a strong prior month, what does that say about direction, and what can it not say?Week of 10 July 2023: Ether gains 3.18% while Bitcoin closes in the lower third of its rangeWhen both assets rise for the week but most of the move is made and reversed within two days on thin volume, what does the close actually say about the trend?Week of 3 July 2023: Bitcoin slips 1.49% and Ether 3.85% on volume below twelve-week averageWhen both assets fall on below-average trading volume after a mixed prior month, what does the week say about direction, and what does it leave unresolved?Week of 26 June 2023: Ether gains 2.04% while Bitcoin closes up 0.51% on quiet volumeWhen both assets rise modestly on below-average volume, what does the difference in where each closed within its weekly range suggest about relative pressure?Week of 19 June 2023: Bitcoin rises 15.65% to within 2.49% of its 52-week highWhen Bitcoin posts a weekly gain at the 93rd percentile of 279 weeks while funding stays near zero, what does the week reveal about the move's breadth, and what does it leave unmeasured?Week of 12 June 2023: Bitcoin gains 1.6% while Ether loses 1.82% on light volumeWhen Bitcoin and Ether move in the same direction hour by hour yet finish the week apart, what does that gap say about the market, and what does low volume add to the reading?
Research notes on real market weeks, not investment advice. Sources: Binance spot BTCUSDT and ETHUSDT 1-hour candles and USD-M perpetual funding rates; weekly figures computed by WSTiger.