Weekly briefs
One real week of Bitcoin and Ether: what the data shows, what it cannot show, and what a careful desk would check.
391 notes, newest week first
Week of 3 October 2022: both assets rise 2-4% on volume at or below the prior averageWhen two crypto assets post modest weekly gains far below their 52-week highs on unremarkable volume, what can the week's price path say, and what can it not say about the trend?Week of 26 September 2022: Bitcoin gains 1.32% while Ether loses 1.38%When Bitcoin and Ether still move closely hour by hour but end the week in opposite directions, what explains the divergence and what can price data alone not tell us?Week of 19 September 2022: BTC and ETH each fall about 3% after a wide Wednesday swingWhen both assets swing more than 10% inside a single day yet close the week only 3% lower, what does that week say about direction, and what does it leave open?Week of 12 September 2022: Ether falls 24% against Bitcoin's 11% as shorts pay fundingWhen Ether falls more than twice as far as Bitcoin in the same week, what do price and funding data say about which side of the market was under pressure?Week of 5 September 2022: Bitcoin up 9.13%, Ether up 11.83%, both closing near the topWhen both assets rally nearly in step but their funding rates and volumes point in opposite directions, what does that combination tell a careful reader?Week of 29 August 2022: Ether gains 10.69% while Bitcoin adds 2.27%When Ether outperforms Bitcoin by more than eight percentage points in one week, what does the price and funding data reveal about the move, and what does it leave unexplained?Week of 22 August 2022: both assets fall about 10% and close at the bottom of the weekly rangeWhen Bitcoin and Ether fall together and close near their weekly lows, what does the timing of the highs and lows reveal about how the week was traded, and what remains unknown?Week of 8 August 2022: Ether gains 13.83% and beats Bitcoin by 8.95 pointsWhen Ether rises far more than Bitcoin in the same week, does the price data show a lasting shift between the two assets, or only one week of difference?Week of 1 August 2022: Ether rises 1.32% while Bitcoin falls 0.52% in the same weekWhen Bitcoin ends a week slightly lower but Ether ends higher and their prices still move closely together, what does the gap between them suggest about the week, and what can price data alone not decide?Week of 25 July 2022: BTC and ETH both rise, ETH ahead by 1.86 percentage pointsAfter a run of alternating weekly gains and losses, what does a week with a 19.13% BTC range that still closed 3.17% higher say about the path, not just the result?Week of 18 July 2022: Ether gains 19.35% and outpaces Bitcoin by 10.79 pointsWhen both assets rise from the same weekly low but one advances far more than the other, what can a week of price data say about the shift in leadership, and what can it not say?Week of 11 July 2022: Ether gains 14.57% while Bitcoin ends flat at -0.30%When Bitcoin and Ether move closely hour by hour but finish the week in opposite directions, what does that gap between them tell us about relative strength, and what does it leave unanswered?Week of 4 July 2022: Bitcoin rebounds 8.01% but stays 69.60% below its 52-week highAfter weeks of falling prices, what does one strong rebound week that still closes far below its 52-week high tell us about the trend, and what can price data alone not settle?Week of 27 June 2022: Bitcoin and Ether fall to Thursday lows on below-average volumeWhen prices fall to new lows on below-average trading volume, what can the week say about how much conviction stood behind the move, and what would confirm or weaken that reading later?Week of 20 June 2022: Bitcoin and Ether rise on below-average volume after weeks of fallsAfter a month of steep weekly losses, what does a modest up week on thin trading volume tell us about whether the selling pressure has eased, and what can it not establish about a turn in trend?Week of 6 June 2022: Bitcoin falls 11.18% and Ether 20.56%, near the bottom of 225 weeksWhen Bitcoin and Ether fall together in the same week but Ether falls almost twice as far, what does the gap between them tell a careful reader, and what can price data alone not explain?Week of 30 May 2022: Bitcoin ends +1.53% after four down weeks, closing near its lowAfter four consecutive falling weeks, does a small positive week mark stabilisation, and what do the intraweek path and the closing level suggest about the staying power of that gain?Week of 23 May 2022: a fifth straight down week as Ether falls 11.23% against Bitcoin's 2.73%When both assets close lower for a fifth consecutive week but Ether falls four times as far as Bitcoin, what does that gap say about a market already far below its high?Week of 16 May 2022: a fifth straight down week on below-average volumeWhen a market falls for a fifth consecutive week on lighter volume than usual, what does the price path say about the decline, and what does the quiet trading activity leave unresolved?Week of 9 May 2022: fifth straight losing week, Bitcoin falls 7.96% and Ether 14.86%After five straight weeks of losses and a 28.25% intraweek swing in Bitcoin, what does the shape of this week's decline tell us about how the market is being sold, and what does it leave unanswered?Week of 2 May 2022: Bitcoin falls 11.5% as the decline stretches to a fifth weekWhen a market has already fallen for four straight weeks, what does a further double-digit weekly loss say about the trend, and what can the shape of the week not tell us?Week of 18 April 2022: Bitcoin ends 0.57% lower after an 11.52% rangeWhen prices swing more than 10% across a week yet finish nearly flat, what does the path of that swing reveal, and what remains unknown about who was behind it?Week of 11 April 2022: Both assets fall about 6% as most of the loss arrives on MondayWhen a week's decline is concentrated in its first day and volume runs below the recent average, how should a desk read the rest of the week's price action?Week of 4 April 2022: Bitcoin and Ether fall about 9% on ordinary volumeWhen two assets fall by nearly the same amount on unremarkable turnover, what does the shape of the week say about the decline, and what does it leave unresolved?Week of 28 March 2022: Ether gains 6.87% while Bitcoin slips 0.9%When two assets moved together hour by hour but finished the week a 7.77-point gap apart, how much of that gap came from a single day, and what does it mean for anyone hedging one with the other?Week of 7 March 2022: Bitcoin gains 8.29% mid-week, then closes the week down 1.67%When a market rises sharply mid-week and then reverses to close lower, what does that shape reveal about who was in control, and what can week-level price data not say?Week of 28 February 2022: Bitcoin ends up 1.91% after a mid-week spike to 45,400When a week holds a large range but closes near its low, what does the shape of the move reveal about who paid, and what remains unmeasurable?Week of 21 February 2022: an 18% range in BTC ends 1.79% lowerWhen a week travels far up and down but finishes near where it started, what does the path reveal about where the risk actually sat?Week of 14 February 2022: both assets fall about 8.7% on below-average volumeWhen a market falls roughly 8.7% on lighter trading than usual, with funding near flat, what does that combination say about the move's strength, and what remains unmeasured?Week of 7 February 2022: Bitcoin ends flat while Ether falls 6% and closes near its lowWhen Bitcoin trades sideways and Ether falls within the same week, how much of the move is a Bitcoin story, and what can price and volume alone establish?
Research notes on real market weeks, not investment advice. Sources: Binance spot BTCUSDT and ETHUSDT 1-hour candles and USD-M perpetual funding rates; weekly figures computed by WSTiger.