Weekly briefs
One real week of Bitcoin and Ether: what the data shows, what it cannot show, and what a careful desk would check.
391 notes, newest week first
Week of 31 January 2022: Bitcoin gains 11.88% and Ether 17.42% on below-average volumeCan a strong weekly gain be read as a turn when it arrives on below-average volume and a market still far below its high?Week of 24 January 2022: Bitcoin and Ether rise from a deep Monday low on thin volumeWhen prices rebound from an early-week low after several falling weeks but do so on below-average trading volume, what does the recovery establish about the market, and what does it leave unresolved?Week of 17 January 2022: Bitcoin loses 15.85% and Ether 24.14% on below-average volumeWhen both assets fall hard on lighter-than-usual trading volume, what can this week say about direction, and what can it not say about cause or intent?Week of 10 January 2022: BTC and ETH rise on below-average volume after three down weeksWhen two assets rebound for a week on unusually thin trading volume, what does the price data support, and what should a careful desk wait to see before reading the rebound as durable?Week of 3 January 2022: Bitcoin loses 11% and Ether 18% on light volumeWhen two assets fall for a full week and close near their lows on below-average volume, what does that combination reveal about the selling, and what does it leave open?Week of 27 December 2021: Bitcoin falls 6.87% on volume well below its twelve-week averageWhen both assets close the week lower on thin volume and well below their 52-week highs, what does the week's shape say about where the selling pressure actually sits?Week of 20 December 2021: Bitcoin gains 8.77% on below-average volumeAfter three losing weeks, what does a strong weekly gain on weak volume actually establish about the market's direction?Week of 13 December 2021: Bitcoin falls 6.74% and closes in the lower third of its rangeWhen a market falls for a third week in four on below-average volume, what does the shape of the week's range reveal about where the pressure sat?Week of 6 December 2021: Bitcoin gains 1.33% after three down weeks while Ether loses 1.58%When Bitcoin and Ether move in opposite directions over a week, and both recover from a shared low, what does the divergence say about where the market's pressure actually sat?Week of 29 November 2021: Bitcoin falls 13.76% while Ether loses only 2.29%When two assets fall in the same week but by very different amounts, how much of the move came from a single hour, and what does the divergence tell a careful reader?Week of 22 November 2021: BTC falls 2.29% while ETH gains 0.82% after a shared Friday shockWhen Bitcoin and Ether move in opposite directions over a week that contains a violent shared day, what does the data show about the shock, and what can it not show about the split?Week of 8 November 2021: Bitcoin gains 3.55% while Ether stalls and the pair's ratio fallsWhen Bitcoin and Ether reach their weekly highs in the same hour but end the week far apart, what can one week of prices say about divergence, and what can it not say?Week of 1 November 2021: Ether gains 7.58% and closes within 0.88% of its 52-week highWhen both assets rise on below-average volume while longs keep paying funding, how strong is the move, and what would confirm or weaken that reading?Week of 25 October 2021: Bitcoin adds 0.74% while Ether gains 5.02% after a shared Thursday lowWhen two assets rise together but one rises about seven times as much, what does the week's shape say about where the move began, and what can it not say about what comes next?Week of 18 October 2021: Bitcoin slips 1.1% while Ether gains 6.12% in the same weekWhen Bitcoin and Ether move in opposite directions over one week, what does the size and shape of the divergence tell a careful reader, and what does it leave unexplained?Week of 11 October 2021: Bitcoin and Ether both gain about 12.6% with positive funding all weekWhen two assets rise by nearly the same amount in one week while trading only loosely together, what does the week say about breadth, and what does it leave unresolved?Week of 4 October 2021: Bitcoin gains 13.40% while Ether ends flat, a 13.5 point gapWhen Bitcoin and Ether move in opposite directions over one week, how wide was the split, and what can price data say about whether it persists?Week of 27 September 2021: Bitcoin and Ether rise about 12% on below-average volumeWhen two assets rally in near-lockstep after several down weeks, but on light volume, how much of the move can a week of price data actually explain?Week of 20 September 2021: Bitcoin falls 8.64% as Monday's high gives way to Tuesday's lowWhen a week sets its high in the first hour, drops to a Tuesday low, and recovers part of the fall, what can the path of the week reveal about where the selling concentrated?Week of 13 September 2021: Bitcoin gains 2.64% while Ether loses 2.22%When Bitcoin rises 2.64% and Ether falls 2.22% in the same week, what does the split say about how closely the two markets were actually moving?Week of 6 September 2021: Bitcoin loses 11.07% and Ether 13.82%, almost all on one TuesdayWhen a week's entire loss arrives in a single day, what does the shape of that day reveal about volatility, crowding, and the levels a desk should test in later weeks?Week of 30 August 2021: Ether gains 22.55% while Bitcoin adds 6.13%When both assets rise in one week but one moves far more than the other, what does the price record show about whether the move was broad or relative, and what can it not explain?Week of 16 August 2021: Bitcoin adds 4.82% while Ether slips 2.10% after four up weeksAfter four consecutive rising weeks, what does it mean when Bitcoin and Ether finally move in opposite directions, and which of the two is showing the stronger trend?Week of 9 August 2021: Bitcoin and Ether rise 7% and 10% on below-average volumeWhen a market posts one of its better weekly gains on lighter-than-usual trading volume, what does that combination tell us, and what remains unmeasurable?Week of 2 August 2021: Ether gains 17.86% and Bitcoin 9.9%, both far below 52-week highsWhen two closely traded assets rise sharply in the same week but one clearly leads, what does the price and volume record establish, and what does it leave unexplained?Week of 26 July 2021: Bitcoin gains 12.62% and Ether 16.71% on below-average volumeWhen both assets post one of their strongest weeks in over three years on lighter than usual trading volume, what can the data say about the move's strength, and what can it not say?Week of 19 July 2021: Bitcoin rises 11.34% and Ether 15.76%, closing at the week's topWhen a market posts one of its strongest weekly gains in over three years of recorded history, but on below-average volume and negative funding, what has actually been proven?Week of 12 July 2021: BTC -7.24% and ETH -11.63% on below-average volumeWhen both assets fall for a fourth week in five but trading volume is well below its recent average, is this a market being sold or a market being ignored?Week of 5 July 2021: Bitcoin and Ether fall on thin volume as Ether lags by 4.93 pointsWhen two assets fall together on volume well below their recent average, what does the difference in where each closed inside its range tell a careful reader?Week of 28 June 2021: Ether gains 17.17% while Bitcoin adds 1.68% on thin volumeWhen two assets rise together but one gains ten times more than the other on below-average volume, what does the gap tell us, and what would confirm it?
Research notes on real market weeks, not investment advice. Sources: Binance spot BTCUSDT and ETHUSDT 1-hour candles and USD-M perpetual funding rates; weekly figures computed by WSTiger.