Weekly briefs
One real week of Bitcoin and Ether: what the data shows, what it cannot show, and what a careful desk would check.
391 notes, newest week first
Week of 21 June 2021: Bitcoin rebounds from a 24% range as Ether loses 11.64%When a market falls hard early in the week and recovers most of it by Sunday, what does the weekly return hide, and what does the relative weakness of Ether add?Week of 14 June 2021: Bitcoin -8.77% and Ether -10.59% as both close near their weekly lowsWhen two assets fall nearly 9% to 11% on below-average volume after a three-week rebound, how much of the picture does this week settle, and what remains open?Week of 7 June 2021: Bitcoin gains 9.01% while Ether loses 7.47% in the same weekWhen two assets with an hourly correlation of 0.88 post a 16.48 percentage-point gap in one week, what does the price data show, and what can it not establish about the cause?Week of 31 May 2021: Ether gains 13.67% while Bitcoin ends the week near flatWhen two closely correlated assets share the same week's path but end far apart in return, what does the split say about relative strength, and what can it not say about the weeks ahead?Week of 24 May 2021: both assets rebound, Ether up 13.8% against Bitcoin's 2.8%After two falling weeks, what does a joint rebound with an 11.03-point gap between Ether and Bitcoin suggest about relative momentum, and what can this week's data not settle?Week of 17 May 2021: Bitcoin falls 25% and Ether 41% in one weekWhen two crypto assets fall together in one week but by very different amounts, what does the gap between their losses tell a reader, and what can this price data not explain?Week of 10 May 2021: Bitcoin falls 20.28% while Ether slips only 8.71%, a splitWhen Bitcoin drops more than a fifth in a week while Ether holds up much better, what does the split, and the still-positive funding, reveal about where the pressure actually sat?Week of 26 April 2021: Ether gains 27% and beats Bitcoin by 11.8 pointsWhen two assets rise together but one gains 11.8 points more, what do that gap, the split in trading volume against each asset's own average, and a loose correlation tell a researcher about the move?Week of 12 April 2021: Bitcoin falls 6.4% while Ether gains 3.9%, a 10-point splitWhen Bitcoin and Ether move in opposite directions in the same week, what does the split reveal about relative positioning, and what can price and funding data alone not explain?Week of 5 April 2021: Bitcoin and Ether gain about 3% while longs pay fundingWhen two assets rise towards their 52-week highs on below-average volume and positive funding, what does the week say about the cost of holding long positions, and what can it not say?Week of 29 March 2021: Ether rises 23% while Bitcoin adds 4%, a gap of 18.68 pointsWhen Ether and Bitcoin separate by nearly nineteen percentage points in one week, what does the price data say about where the strength sat, and what can it not say about why?Week of 22 March 2021: Bitcoin and Ether fall on thin volume while longs keep paying fundingWhen both assets close lower on below-average trading volume but funding stays positive and Friday rebounds, is the market signalling exhaustion or simply consolidating after two volatile weeks?Week of 15 March 2021: Bitcoin ends 2.75% down inside a 13.82% weekly swingWhen a week ends down less than 3% but swings more than 13% within it, what does the small weekly loss actually measure, and what does it leave hidden about positioning?Week of 8 March 2021: Bitcoin gains 15.7% and closes 4.35% below its 52-week high as Ether lagsWhen one asset approaches a new high while the other lags and longs pay funding throughout, what can a single week of price data say about leadership and crowding?Week of 1 March 2021: Bitcoin adds 12.93% and Ether 21.67%, closing near the top of the rangeWhen both assets rally for a week and close near their highs while longs pay funding, what can the price data establish about the move, and what must remain open?Week of 8 February 2021: Bitcoin gains 25.21% while Ether trails by 13.48 pointsWhen Bitcoin rises far faster than Ether in a strong week, what does the price record show about where the move came from, and what can it not tell us about who drove it?Week of 1 February 2021: Bitcoin gains 17% and Ether 23% while longs pay elevated fundingWhen a week ranks at the 94th and 95th percentiles of 155 weeks while funding stays positive in every print, what does that say about momentum, and what does it leave unmeasured?Week of 25 January 2021: Bitcoin gains 2.58% while Ether loses 5.72%When Bitcoin rises in a week while Ether falls, and both swing more than 20% inside the week, what does the divergence tell us about the move, and what does it leave open?Week of 18 January 2021: Bitcoin falls 9.95% while Ether gains 12.98% in the same weekWhen Bitcoin and Ether move in opposite directions over one week, what does the price data say about the split, and what does it leave unexplained?Week of 11 January 2021: Bitcoin falls 6.08% after four rising weeks while Ether falls lessAfter four straight weekly gains, what does a week in which both assets drop hard on Monday, recover, and end differently tell us about how a strong trend turns?Week of 4 January 2021: Bitcoin +15.61% and Ether +28.20% with longs paying heavy fundingWhen Bitcoin and Ether both post double-digit weekly gains with funding deeply positive, what does the week reveal about momentum, and what can it not reveal about the positions behind it?Week of 28 December 2020: Bitcoin gains 25.56% and Ether 42.79%, both at the 99th percentileWhen two assets post their strongest weekly returns in nearly three years of history with only loose correlation between them, what does the data say about the move and what can it not say?Week of 21 December 2020: Bitcoin gains 12.05% and touches 28,422 while Ether trailsWhen Bitcoin sets a new high for the week on the final day and Ether finishes 4.68 points behind, what can one week of prices say about which asset led, and what remains unknown?Week of 30 November 2020: Bitcoin rises 6.46% but both assets drop sharply on TuesdayWhen both assets rise together but one lags, and longs pay funding all week, how much of the gain was surrendered in a single hour, and what does that say about the move's strength?Week of 23 November 2020: Bitcoin slips 1.24% while Ether gains 2.91% on a 29.52% rangeWhen two large crypto assets swing more than 20% within one week but finish in opposite directions, what does the week say about shared versus separate risk?Week of 16 November 2020: BTC up 15.4% and ETH 24.99%, both within 2.4% of 52-week highsWhen both majors gain double digits in one week and close in the upper third of their weekly ranges, what does the data show about the strength of the move, and what does it leave unexplained?Week of 9 November 2020: Bitcoin rises 3.11% while Ether falls 1.37%When Bitcoin and Ether move in opposite directions over a week, what does the gap between them tell us about the strength of the move, and what can weekly candles alone not settle?Week of 26 October 2020: Bitcoin rises 5.62% while Ether falls 2.26% in the same weekWhen Bitcoin and Ether move in opposite directions over one week, how wide is the gap, what does it say about where strength was concentrated, and what can price data alone not explain?Week of 19 October 2020: Bitcoin gains 13.26% to within 2.13% of its 52-week highWhen Bitcoin closes 2.13% below its 52-week high after a 13.26% weekly gain, what do volume, funding and the lag in Ether say about the strength behind the move?Week of 12 October 2020: both assets gain about 1% on below-average volumeWhen Bitcoin and Ether rise about 1% together but trade on below-average volume, what can this week of price data establish about the move's strength?
Research notes on real market weeks, not investment advice. Sources: Binance spot BTCUSDT and ETHUSDT 1-hour candles and USD-M perpetual funding rates; weekly figures computed by WSTiger.