Weekly briefs
One real week of Bitcoin and Ether: what the data shows, what it cannot show, and what a careful desk would check.
391 notes, newest week first
Week of 17 June 2019: Bitcoin rises 21.81% to within 2.07% of its 52-week highWhen Bitcoin posts one of its strongest weekly gains in more than a year while Ether lags, what does the price data establish, and what would a desk need to check before reading it as a trend?Week of 3 June 2019: after four rising weeks, Bitcoin falls 12.58% and Ether 14.09%After four straight rising weeks, does a single down week with the close in the lower third of the range mark a reversal, and what would later weeks need to show to settle that?Week of 20 May 2019: Bitcoin closes at a 52-week high as the Sunday rally outpaces EtherWhen one asset prints a 52-week high after four rising weeks and the other lags, what does a single week of price data establish about the move, and what does it leave open?Week of 13 May 2019: Ether gains 37.99% while Bitcoin rises 16.94%, both on heavy volumeWhen two crypto assets rise together in one week but one gains far more than the other, what does the week's data say about the size of the move and what does it leave unanswered?Week of 6 May 2019: Bitcoin gains 20.68%, ranking in the 95th percentile of 64 weeksWhen Bitcoin has one of its strongest weeks in the 64 weeks recorded while Ether lags and the two correlate weakly, what does the shape of the week say about the move's durability?Week of 29 April 2019: Bitcoin gains 8.77% while Ether trails by 5.48 pointsWhen Bitcoin and Ether rise in the same week but by different amounts, what does the gap in returns, volumes and distance from their highs reveal about where the two markets stood?Week of 22 April 2019: Bitcoin rises 0.95% while Ether falls 6.37%When Bitcoin and Ether move in opposite directions over one week, how much of the gap is timing rather than a lasting divergence, and what should a desk check before treating it as one?Week of 15 April 2019: Bitcoin adds 2.43% and closes in the upper third of its rangeWhen both assets rise on ordinary volume after weeks of much larger moves, what does the shape of the price path say about the strength of the rise?Week of 8 April 2019: Ether falls 4.05% while Bitcoin ends near flat after a Friday lowWhen two closely correlated assets finish a week with different results, what does the gap between them tell us about the move, and what does price data alone leave unanswered?Week of 1 April 2019: Bitcoin gains 26.03%, a 98th-percentile week of 59When a market posts one of its strongest weekly gains in 59 weeks of recorded history, what do the price and volume data establish, and what do they leave unexplained?Week of 25 March 2019: BTC and ETH rise on volume below the twelve-week averageWhen BTC posts a fifth consecutive weekly gain on below-average volume while both assets remain far below their 52-week highs, what can the data say about the advance?Week of 11 March 2019: both assets rise on volume below the twelve-week averageWhen prices rise on below-average volume while the market remains far below its 52-week high, what can a quiet week establish, and what can it not?Week of 4 March 2019: BTC and ETH rise on light volume, still far below their highsWhen both assets post modest weekly gains on lighter-than-usual volume while sitting far below their 52-week highs, what does the week actually establish about direction?Week of 25 February 2019: Bitcoin adds 1.71% while Ether loses 1.14%When Bitcoin and Ether fall to their weekly low in the same hour yet close the week in opposite directions, what does that ask about reading two assets as one market?Week of 18 February 2019: Bitcoin ends up 2.07% after a Sunday reversal, Ether down 1.25%When both assets peak and then collapse inside the final day of the week, what does the weekly return hide, and what should a desk carry into the following week?Week of 11 February 2019: Bitcoin goes nowhere while Ether gains 6.9% on light volumeWhen two crypto assets that usually move together end the week in opposite directions, how much of the gap is signal and how much is a quiet, thinly traded week?Week of 4 February 2019: Ether rises 16.58% against Bitcoin's 6.42% on light volumeWhen a long-suffering market rises for one week on below-average volume, how much of the move is Ether leading rather than the whole market turning?Week of 28 January 2019: BTC and ETH fall on volume at half the twelve-week averageWhen two crypto assets fall together but on very light volume, what does the week say about the strength of the decline, and what can it not say?Week of 21 January 2019: Bitcoin ends flat at 3,550.84 while Ether falls 4.69% on thin volumeWhen Bitcoin barely moves but Ether loses nearly 5% in the same week, what does the divergence in a low-volume week tell us about relative weakness?Week of 14 January 2019: both assets rise and both close in the lower third of their rangeWhen two assets rise for the week yet finish near the bottom of their ranges, what does the shape of the week say about the durability of the gains?Week of 7 January 2019: Bitcoin falls 12.81% and Ether 25.82% in a single weekWhen both assets fall together but Ether loses twice as much, what does the gap tell us about a shared move versus asset-specific selling?Week of 31 December 2018: Ether outgains Bitcoin by 6.8 points after a shared Monday lowWhen Bitcoin and Ether bottom in the same hour but finish the week far apart in return and volume, what does the split tell a desk about reading a recovery?Week of 24 December 2018: Ether gains 6.77% while Bitcoin falls 3.25% in the same weekWhen two assets fall to their lows in the same hour yet finish the week 10 percentage points apart, what does the divergence measure, and what can it not tell us?Week of 17 December 2018: Bitcoin rises 21.69% and Ether 52.37% after weeks of declineAfter several losing weeks, what can a single sharply higher week say about whether a decline is turning, and what does it leave unproven?Week of 10 December 2018: a further 9% fall on below-average volume, 72% below the highWhen prices keep falling but trading activity dries up, what does a quiet weekly decline tell us about whether the selling has run its course, and what can it not tell us?Week of 26 November 2018: Bitcoin rises 1.77% while Ether falls 1.75% for the weekAfter four straight weeks of falling prices, what does a week in which Bitcoin rises and Ether falls say about how the two assets move together, and what can price data alone not settle?Week of 19 November 2018: Bitcoin falls 27.84% and Ether 33.72% from the week's opening hourWhen a whole week of losses begins in the very first hour and ends near the bottom of the range, what does that pattern say about who was in control of the market?Week of 12 November 2018: Bitcoin falls 12.23% and Ether 15.82% on below-average volumeWhen two assets fall double digits in one week but trade less than usual, what does the price action show, and what does the thin volume leave unresolved?Week of 5 November 2018: prices close flat as BTC volume runs at a third of normalWhen a week ends almost where it began but trading activity is far below its recent average, what does the quiet read as, and what can it not tell us?Week of 29 October 2018: Bitcoin ends flat while Ether gains 3.47% on light volumeIn a week when Bitcoin barely moved but Ether rose 3.47%, what does the gap between them reveal about a market still deep below its highs on very thin volume?
Research notes on real market weeks, not investment advice. Sources: Binance spot BTCUSDT and ETHUSDT 1-hour candles and USD-M perpetual funding rates; weekly figures computed by WSTiger.