Weekly briefs
One real week of Bitcoin and Ether: what the data shows, what it cannot show, and what a careful desk would check.
391 notes, newest week first
Week of 17 February 2020: Ether gains 6.02% while Bitcoin ends nearly flatWhen Ether rises 6% in a week Bitcoin barely moves, what does the data show about the gap between them, and what can it not show about its cause?Week of 3 February 2020: Ether gains 21.23% while Bitcoin adds 8.79%When both assets post strong weekly gains but one rises more than twice as fast as the other, what does the spread between them tell a careful observer about risk?Week of 27 January 2020: Bitcoin +8.32% and Ether +12.23%, still far below their 52-week highsWhen two assets rise together for a week while remaining a third to a half below their 52-week highs, what does the price data tell us about the rebound, and what does it leave open?Week of 20 January 2020: Bitcoin slips 1.00% while Ether adds 0.64% on thin volumeWhen the two largest assets move in opposite directions on light volume, how much of the divergence is meaningful, and what does the shared timing of their highs and lows suggest?Week of 13 January 2020: Ether gains 13.8% while Bitcoin adds 6.31%When both assets rise in the same week but one gains twice as much, what do the size of the gap, the heavier volume, and Sunday's late reversal say about the move?Week of 6 January 2020: Bitcoin gains 11.24% while still 41% below its 52-week highWhen both assets post high-percentile weekly gains while sitting far below yearly highs, what does the price path establish, and what does it leave open?Week of 30 December 2019: Bitcoin and Ether close flat after a Friday dip and Sunday recoveryWhen both assets fall to their lows on the same day and recover into the week's close, what does a flat weekly return say about the market's direction?Week of 23 December 2019: Bitcoin slips 1.5% while Ether gains 1.7% in the same weekWhen Bitcoin and Ether move in opposite directions over one week, what does the price and funding data say about the split, and what can it not say about its cause?Week of 16 December 2019: Bitcoin gains 5.36% while Ether loses 7.28%, a 12.64-point splitHow much of the gap between Bitcoin's weekly rise and Ether's fall comes from when each coin moved, and what can prices and funding rates (payments between long and short holders of no-expiry perpetual futures) show about it?Week of 9 December 2019: BTC and ETH fall about 5% on below-average volumeWhen both assets fall around 5% on light volume, with BTC about half below its 52-week high and ETH further down, what does a quiet decline reveal, and what can price not show?Week of 2 December 2019: Bitcoin adds 1.6% while Ether ends flat on thin volumeAfter a mixed run of prior weeks, what can a modest weekly gain on below-average volume say about the market's direction, and what does the swing inside Wednesday add to that reading?Week of 25 November 2019: Bitcoin gains 7.11% after four losing weeksWhen a market rises after four straight losing weeks, what in the week's price and volume data supports reading the move as a turn, and what leaves it open?Week of 11 November 2019: Bitcoin falls 5.95% on light volume as Ether loses lessWhen two assets drift lower all week on below-average volume, what does the size of the decline and the light trading say about the market's conviction, and what does it not say?Week of 4 November 2019: Ether rises 4.09% while Bitcoin falls 1.71%When two assets that usually move together finish the week in opposite directions, how much of that split is visible in the price path, and what would a desk need before calling it a change of trend?Week of 28 October 2019: Bitcoin closes 34.14% below its 52-week high after a -3.50% weekWhen both assets close in the lower third of their weekly range, what does the price data say about the balance of the week, and what does it leave unsaid?Week of 21 October 2019: Bitcoin gains 15.89% as Ether lags by 11 pointsAfter several falling weeks, what does a sharp rebound week reveal about direction, and what does the price data still leave unsettled?Week of 14 October 2019: Bitcoin slips 0.63% while Ether falls 3.18% on light volumeWhen both assets fall for the week but one closes in the upper third of its range and the other in the lower third, what does that split tell a trader?Week of 30 September 2019: Bitcoin falls 2.35% while Ether edges up 0.50%After a week in which both assets fell about 20%, what does a week of divergence between Bitcoin and Ether tell us, and what does it not tell us?Week of 23 September 2019: Bitcoin and Ether lose about a fifth of their valueWhen Bitcoin and Ether fall about 20% in the same week, how concentrated was that fall in time, and how should a reader weigh the difference in their trading volume?Week of 9 September 2019: Bitcoin slips 0.76% while Ether gains 4.33% on light volumeWhen Bitcoin and Ether move in opposite directions in the same week, what does the price data reveal about the split, and what can it not tell us about its cause?Week of 2 September 2019: BTC and ETH rise after a run of down weeks, on light volumeWhen two assets rise together after several falling weeks but trade on below-average volume, what does the week actually establish, and what would confirm or weaken it later?Week of 26 August 2019: BTC and Ether fall on roughly half their usual volumeWhen two assets fall for a week on volume far below their twelve-week average, what can that quiet data tell us about direction, and what remains unknowable from it?Week of 19 August 2019: Bitcoin ends 1.59% lower and Ether 4.00% lower on thin volumeWhen both assets fall on volume well below their recent average and close in the lower third of their weekly range, what does the week say about the balance of demand, and what can it not say?Week of 12 August 2019: Bitcoin and Ether fall about 10% on below-average volumeWhen both assets lose roughly a tenth of their value on light trading, how much of the week's story is decline, and how much is simply an absence of buyers?Week of 29 July 2019: Bitcoin rises 14.54% while Ether gains only 4.83%When two crypto assets rise in the same week but one gains three times more, what does the data show about that gap, and what can it not say about its cause?Week of 22 July 2019: Bitcoin falls 9.9% and ends in the lower third of its weekly rangeWhen a week's high comes in its first hour and its low in its last, on below-average volume, what does the price path say about the balance between buyers and sellers, and what can it not say?Week of 15 July 2019: Bitcoin rises 4.08% while Ether ends the week flatWhen both assets swing more than 22% inside one week but close in opposite directions, what does the split say about the move, and what can it not say?Week of 8 July 2019: Bitcoin drops 10.83% and Ether 25.88% after a mid-week peakWhen a market that has risen for weeks reverses and closes near its weekly low, what does the divergence between Bitcoin and Ether reveal about where the selling concentrated?Week of 1 July 2019: Bitcoin rises 5.09% inside a 23.37% range as Ether trailsWhen Bitcoin swings through a 23.37% weekly range but still closes 5.09% higher, what does the path reveal about the week's risk, and why did Ether lag behind it?Week of 24 June 2019: Bitcoin swings 32.73% inside the week but closes 0.48% lowerWhen a week holds a 32.73% range yet ends almost flat, what does the path inside that range reveal about risk that the weekly return alone hides?
Research notes on real market weeks, not investment advice. Sources: Binance spot BTCUSDT and ETHUSDT 1-hour candles and USD-M perpetual funding rates; weekly figures computed by WSTiger.