Concept · example: ETH, week of 10 June 2019

Sharpe ratio

How do you judge whether a return was worth the price swings you had to sit through?

In plain words

The Sharpe ratio divides a return in excess of a risk-free rate by the volatility of that return, so a gain is expressed per unit of risk rather than in isolation. A higher value means more excess return for each unit of price swing.

Why it matters

Comparing raw returns alone rewards any market that simply moved a lot. Dividing by volatility separates a steady gain from a wild one, and shows whether the outcome was large relative to the disturbance a position had to absorb along the way.

In a real week: ETH, week of 10 June 2019

In the week of 10 June 2019, ETH rose 15.89% while its annualised realised volatility was 64.2%. The return sat in the 91.0 percentile of its 69 weeks of history, yet the week's range was 22.04% and the largest hourly move 3.78%. The gain was large against the volatility it took to earn it, though one week is a thin sample.

A common mistake

Reading a high Sharpe ratio as a forecast. It describes past return against past volatility and can collapse quickly if volatility rises.

Related ideas

realised volatilityrisk-adjusted returndrawdown

Research notes on real market weeks, not investment advice. Sources: Binance spot BTCUSDT and ETHUSDT 1-hour candles and USD-M perpetual funding rates; weekly figures computed by WSTiger.

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